Leadership Math: The Deeper Cost of Poor Decisions

James Dowle • October 21, 2024
From "Girl Math" to "Leadership Math"


You've probably heard of "girl math”, the tongue-in-cheek concept that's taken social media by storm. It's the "logic" that justifies splurging on a designer bag because it was on sale (you're saving money, right?), or considering a coffee as "free" if you pay with cash you found in the pocket of a jacket you’ve not worn for months. While "girl math" is all in good fun, it got me thinking about the often misguided calculations we make as leaders.


Enter "leadership math”, a concept that's far less playful than "girl math" and significantly more impactful. Unlike the harmless justifications of "girl math," miscalculations in “leadership math” can have serious consequences for team morale, productivity, and overall organisational health. Today, we're diving into a crucial equation in “leadership math”: why one negative action can't simply be balanced out by a positive one, and how this imbalance can create deep scars in your relationship with with your team.


Beyond Traditional Metrics: The Unseen Math of Leadership


When we think of business mathematics, our minds often jump to profit and loss statements, net promoter scores, and key performance indicators (KPIs). These are undoubtedly crucial metrics for any organisation. 


However, effective leaders understand that there's another layer of mathematics at play - one that's less visible on spreadsheets but equally impactful on the bottom line. This is the math of team morale, trust, and interpersonal dynamics. While you can't always quantify it in traditional reports, this "leadership math" can make or break team performance, employee retention, and long-term organisational success. It's the calculation of how your actions as a leader add up over time, creating either a positive sum game of motivated, engaged employees or a negative balance of disillusionment and decreased productivity.


The Emotional Bank Account: A Fundamental Concept in Leadership Math


To truly understand leadership math, we need to introduce a crucial concept: the emotional bank account. This idea, popularised by Stephen Covey in his seminal work "The 7 Habits of Highly Effective People," provides a powerful metaphor for understanding interpersonal relationships, including those between leaders and their team members [1].


Just like a financial bank account, an emotional bank account can have deposits (positive interactions) and withdrawals (negative interactions). The balance of this account represents the level of trust and goodwill in a relationship. Here's where the math gets interesting:

  • Deposits are typically smaller and need to be made consistently over time
  • Withdrawals can be large and can happen in an instant
  • A large withdrawal can wipe out the balance of many small deposits.


This concept aligns perfectly with our understanding of leadership math. Let's explore how it applies.



The Asymmetry of Leadership


Research in behavioural psychology has long established that negative experiences have a more profound and lasting impact than positive ones. This phenomenon, known as negativity bias, is particularly relevant in the leadership context [2].


Consider this scenario: A team leader consistently provides positive feedback and support for months (making regular small deposits). Then, in a moment of frustration, they publicly criticise a team member's work in front of their peers (a significant withdrawal).


Many leaders might think that a few subsequent positive actions might neutralise this negative event. However, the reality is far more complex. Or that a historic positive emotional bank account with their team might


The Mathematics of Morale: Why -1 plus 1 Doesn't Equal 0


When a leader takes an action that significantly disrupts team morale, it's as if the team's collective emotional bank account suddenly goes into overdraft. The crucial point to understand is that making one large deposit afterwards doesn't automatically restore the balance to zero. In fact, the account often remains in the negative even after multiple positive initiatives.


Why? Because trust, once broken, is challenging to rebuild. Dr. Paul Zak, author of "Trust Factor: The Science of Creating High-Performance Companies," notes that it takes much longer to build trust than to destroy it [3]. In emotional bank account terms, it takes many more deposits to offset a single large withdrawal.


The Ripple Effect: Diminishing Returns on Positive Actions


Not only does a negative leadership action create an immediate drop in the emotional bank account balance, but it also affects the value of future deposits. Team members may view subsequent positive actions through a lens of skepticism, reducing their impact.


For example: After the public criticism incident, the leader organises a team-building event. While objectively positive, team members might view it as an attempt to 'make up' for the previous mistake, rather than a genuine effort to improve team dynamics.


This diminishing effect on positive actions can persist for an extended period, making recovery a long and challenging process. In emotional bank account terms, deposits made after a significant withdrawal may be valued less, requiring even more positive actions to restore the balance.


The Cost-Benefit Analysis of Leadership


Given these insights, leaders must carefully consider the potential morale cost of their actions. Many of us make decisions based on their impact on profitability, productivity or commands from our own bosses, failing to consider the impact on the good will previously created with our teams. The defence of “I’m just doing what I’ve been told to do” is no excuse at all, just diminishing your credibility as a leader. So, before taking any action, especially one that might be perceived negatively, ask yourself:

  • Is the potential benefit worth the likely cost to morale?
  • How might this action affect the team's reception of future positive initiatives?
  • Are there alternative approaches that could achieve the same goal without the morale risk?


Real-World Examples


  • The Micromanager's Mistake: A tech startup CEO, known for her hands-off approach, suddenly started demanding daily progress reports from her development team. This single action led to a drastic drop in team morale and productivity. Despite subsequent efforts to relax oversight, the team's trust took months to rebuild.


  • The Broken Promise: A retail manager promised his team a group bonus if they met their quarterly targets. The team worked overtime and achieved the goal, but upper management decided not to approve the bonus. Even though the manager fought for his team and eventually secured individual recognitions, the broken promise remained a sore point for months.


  • The Mishandled Layoff: During a company restructuring, a department head handled a necessary layoff poorly, providing no warning or support to the affected employee. The remaining team's morale plummeted, and despite multiple team-building initiatives and increased transparency in the following months, trust in leadership remained low.



Call to Action: Master Your Leadership Math and Build Your Emotional Bank Accounts


Understanding the complex equations of leadership math and the concept of the emotional bank account is crucial, but knowledge alone isn't enough. It's time to put this understanding into action. Here's how you can start mastering your leadership math and building your team's emotional bank account today:


  • Work out the current score: Reflect on your recent actions as a leader. Have there been any instances where you might have unintentionally scored a -1? Be honest with yourself – this is the first step towards improvement.
  • Seek feedback: Don't rely solely on your own perceptions. Create feedback channels for your team to share how your actions impact their morale. These can provide invaluable insights into your leadership equation. Tell your team that you’ve heard what they’ve said and shown them that you’ve acted on it.
  • Practice transparency: When you do make a mistake (we're all human, after all), own up to it quickly and transparently. Explain your reasoning, apologise if necessary, and outline how you plan to do better in the future.
  • Mentor and be mentored: Share your insights about leadership math and emotional bank accounts with emerging leaders, and seek guidance from those more experienced. This journey of understanding and applying these concepts is ongoing and collaborative.


Remember, unlike "girl math," the equations in “leadership math” have real-world consequences. Every interaction, decision, and action makes wither deposits or withdrawals from your emotional bank accounts. By mastering this math, you're not just improving a virtual concept of emotional balances, but you're enhancing the real work lives of real people, boosting productivity, and creating a more positive organisational culture.


Start applying these principles today. Your team – and your future self – will thank you for it. After all, in the world of leadership, the most important calculation is the lasting positive impact you have on your team and organisation.


References

[1] Covey, S. R. (1989). The 7 Habits of Highly Effective People.

[2]: Baumeister, R. F., Bratslavsky, E., Finkenauer, C., & Vohs, K. D. (2001). Bad is stronger than good. Review of General Psychology, 5(4), 323-370.

[3]: Zak, P. J. (2017). Trust Factor: The Science of Creating High-Performance Companies.


JamJam Blog on Executive Presence

October 17, 2024
The Delicate Dance of Organisational Dynamics: Navigating Collaboration and Competition
By James Dowle October 7, 2024
We Need to Look at Ourselves First Trust in business is often viewed as a precious commodity, slowly accumulated through years of reliable actions and transparent dealings. But what if this conventional wisdom is holding us back? Recent research and forward-thinking organisations are challenging this notion, suggesting that adopting a trusting mindset from the outset might be the key to unlocking unprecedented levels of innovation, collaboration, and success in the modern business landscape. The Traditional View vs The New Paradigm Traditionally, we've been taught that trust must be earned. This perspective puts the onus on others to prove their trustworthiness. While there's value in this approach, it can create an environment of suspicion and caution, potentially hindering collaboration and innovation. A growing body of evidence suggests that approaching business relationships with a predisposition to trust can yield significant benefits. This paradigm shift focuses on cultivating a trusting environment rather than simply earning trust. The Benefits of a Trusting Mindset 1. Enhanced Collaboration, Innovation and Engagement Research shows that employees in high-trust organisations are more productive, have more energy at work, are more engaged and collaborate better with their colleagues (Zak, 2017). A trusting mindset encourages open communication, idea-sharing, and risk-taking, leading to enhanced creativity and problem-solving capabilities. All in all, a better place to work! 2. Increased Cooperation and Productivity A 2018 study published in the Journal of Personality and Social Psychology found that individuals who exhibited high trust were more likely to cooperate with others, even in one-time interactions (Yamagishi et al., 2018). The better we cooperate, the better our individual and collective productivity. 3. Improved Negotiation Outcomes A study in the Journal of Conflict Resolution demonstrated that negotiators who approached talks with a trusting attitude achieved better outcomes than those who were more guarded (Kong et al., 2014). And this not only applies when negotiating big deals with parties outside your organisation - it’s also critical when discussing the ‘small stuff’ with your own colleagues. 4. Psychological Safety Google's Project Aristotle, which analysed team dynamics, found that psychological safety—rooted in trust—was the most significant factor in team effectiveness. Teams that felt safe to take risks and be vulnerable in front of each other were more successful. If you really want to innovate or push the boundaries of current possibilities, a culture of trust is essential. The Cost of Distrust Conversely, the absence of trust can lead to a toxic work environment, high employee turnover, and diminished productivity. A study by the Edelman Trust Barometer found that companies with low trust levels experience greater employee disengagement and higher turnover rates. Distrust breeds micromanagement, excessive oversight, and fear—elements that stifle innovation and hinder growth. Moreover, when distrust seeps into an organisation, it can affect relationships with clients and stakeholders. A lack of trust can lead to poor communication, misaligned goals, and ultimately, failed partnerships. Companies like Enron serve as stark reminders of how distrust can lead to catastrophic failures—not only internally but also externally, damaging reputations and client relationships. Implementing a Trusting Mindset in Business So how can we cultivate this trusting mindset in our professional lives? Lead by Example : Leadership plays a crucial role in establishing a culture of trust. Leaders should model vulnerability and transparency, demonstrating that trust is reciprocal. When leaders share their challenges and successes openly, they encourage a culture where employees feel safe to do the same. Start with Trust : Instead of making others earn your trust, start from a position of trust. This doesn't mean being naive, but rather giving people the benefit of the doubt. Empower Employees : Empowerment goes hand-in-hand with trust. When employees are given autonomy to make decisions, it shows that the organisation believes in their capabilities. This empowerment not only builds trust but also fosters accountability and engagement. Encourage Open Communication : Create channels for open dialogue. Regular feedback sessions, town hall meetings, and anonymous surveys can help employees voice their thoughts without fear of retribution. This openness not only strengthens trust but also drives improvement. Embrace Vulnerability : Research by Brené Brown shows that vulnerability is a key component of trust. Be willing to admit mistakes and ask for help when needed. Focus on Shared Goals : Emphasise common objectives to foster a sense of unity and shared purpose. If you have a strategy (ahem!!), share it, and live it. Focus every day on achieving it! Celebrate Collaboration : Recognise and reward collaborative efforts within the organisation. Celebrating teamwork fosters a sense of community and reinforces the idea that trust is a collective effort. The Bottom Line Trust in business is not merely about earning it; it's about adopting a trusting mindset that permeates the entire organisation. By fostering an environment where trust thrives, businesses can unlock the potential of their teams, enhance collaboration, and build resilient relationships with clients and partners. As Stephen M.R. Covey, author of "The Speed of Trust," aptly puts it: "Trust is the one thing that changes everything." By shifting our focus from earning trust to cultivating a trusting environment, we can create more collaborative, innovative, and successful business relationships. In a world where trust is increasingly scarce, the organisations that prioritise a trusting mindset will not only survive but thrive. Let's shift our perspective—trust isn't just a goal; it's a fundamental way of working that can transform our businesses for the better. References: 1. Yamagishi, T., et al. (2018). Cortical thickness of the dorsolateral prefrontal cortex predicts strategic choices in economic games. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 115(20), E5582-E5591. 2. Zak, P. J. (2017). The neuroscience of trust. Harvard Business Review, 95(1), 84-90. 3. Kong, D. T., Dirks, K. T., & Ferrin, D. L. (2014). Interpersonal trust within negotiations: Meta-analytic evidence, critical contingencies, and directions for future research. Academy of Management Journal, 57(5), 1235-1255. 4. Brown, B. (2018). Dare to Lead: Brave Work. Tough Conversations. Whole Hearts. Random House. 5. Covey, S. M. R. (2006). The Speed of Trust: The One Thing that Changes Everything. Free Press. 6. Edelman Trust Barometer. (2021). Annual Global Study. Edelman. 7. Google re:Work. (2015). Guide: Understand team effectiveness.
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